SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 41.99%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 28.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Belgrano win it was 1-0 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Tigre |
28.76% ( 0.41) | 29.24% ( 0.48) | 41.99% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 42.68% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.23% ( -1.38) | 63.76% ( 1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.98% ( -1) | 83.02% ( 1) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61% ( -0.43) | 38.99% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.28% ( -0.41) | 75.71% ( 0.41) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% ( -1.18) | 30.04% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.83% ( -1.44) | 66.17% ( 1.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.52% Total : 28.76% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.59)2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.24% | 0-1 @ 14.08% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.37% Total : 41.99% |
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