SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 15.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
60.64% ( 1.15) | 23.63% ( -0.19) | 15.72% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 42.31% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.77% ( -0.76) | 56.22% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.73% ( -0.62) | 77.27% ( 0.62) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.72% ( 0.14) | 18.28% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.66% ( 0.24) | 49.34% ( -0.24) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.77% ( -1.75) | 48.23% ( 1.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.6% ( -1.31) | 83.4% ( 1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 14.98% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.48)2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.93% Total : 60.64% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.5% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.12)Other @ 2% Total : 15.72% |
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