Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0) 
