Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.