Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Colon had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
