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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Nov 28, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello

Defensa
1 - 1
Colon

Merentiel (90+1')
Frias (36'), Bou (39'), Colombo (67'), Benitez (70'), (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Castro (71')
Pierotti (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Colon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Colon had a probability of 19.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawColon
55.65%24.5%19.85%
Both teams to score 47.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.16%53.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.7%75.3%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74%19.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02%50.97%
Colon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.26%41.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.79%78.2%
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 55.64%
    Colon 19.85%
    Draw 24.49%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawColon
1-0 @ 13.23%
2-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 9.53%
3-0 @ 5.99%
3-1 @ 5.23%
4-0 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 2.29%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 55.64%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 8.04%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.02%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-2 @ 3.07%
1-3 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.85%

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