Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Colon had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
