Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.