Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colon in this match.