Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 38.13%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 30.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.74%) and 1-2 (7.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.87%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 1-0 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.