SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 16.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
60.8% ( -0.05) | 23.04% ( 0.04) | 16.15% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.73% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.56% ( -0.12) | 53.44% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.03% ( -0.1) | 74.97% ( 0.1) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.79% ( -0.06) | 17.21% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.51% ( -0.1) | 47.49% ( 0.1) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.03% ( -0.05) | 45.97% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.3% ( -0.04) | 81.7% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 13.92% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 12.24% 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 60.79% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.36% Total : 16.15% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
