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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 41.27%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 28.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.56%) and 1-2 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.47%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 1-0 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Riestra | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
28.25% ( -1.42) | 30.48% ( 0.16) | 41.27% ( 1.26) |
| Both teams to score 39.49% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.45% ( -0.84) | 67.55% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.37% ( -0.57) | 85.63% ( 0.57) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.42% ( -1.66) | 41.58% ( 1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.93% ( -1.49) | 78.07% ( 1.49) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% ( 0.31) | 32.4% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.08% ( 0.35) | 68.92% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Riestra | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.21% Total : 28.25% | 0-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.41) 1-1 @ 13.32% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.47% | 0-1 @ 15.18% ( 0.59) 0-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.4)1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.84% Total : 41.27% |
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