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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 45.07%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.99%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Belgrano |
45.07% ( 0.02) | 30.33% ( 0.18) | 24.6% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 37.74% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.43% ( -0.56) | 68.57% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.69% ( -0.37) | 86.31% ( 0.37) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% ( -0.28) | 30.76% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.97% ( -0.33) | 67.03% ( 0.33) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.51% ( -0.52) | 45.49% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.68% ( -0.41) | 81.32% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 16.49% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 45.06% | 0-0 @ 13.99% ( 0.29) 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.33% Total : 30.33% | 0-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.63% Total : 24.59% |
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