SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 66.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 11.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.72%) and 3-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Belgrano |
66.45% ( -0.04) | 21.84% ( 0.03) | 11.71% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 37.56% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.98% ( -0.07) | 57.02% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.09% ( -0.06) | 77.91% ( 0.06) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.47% ( -0.03) | 16.53% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.72% ( -0.07) | 46.28% ( 0.07) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45% ( -0.02) | 55% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.12% ( -0.01) | 87.88% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 16.36% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 14.72% 3-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 66.43% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.84% | 0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.92% 0-2 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 11.71% |
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