SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 48.02%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (7.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.73%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Banfield |
48.02% ( -0.5) | 31.47% ( 0.53) | 20.51% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 32.25% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 26.6% ( -1.18) | 73.4% ( 1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 10.67% ( -0.71) | 89.33% ( 0.71) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% ( -0.91) | 31.73% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.85% ( -1.06) | 68.15% ( 1.06) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.24% ( -0.78) | 52.76% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.5% ( -0.5) | 86.5% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 19.21% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.59% Total : 48.01% | 0-0 @ 16.73% ( 0.72) 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.19% Total : 31.46% | 0-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 20.51% |
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