SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 41.86%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 28.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Belgrano |
41.86% ( 0.4) | 29.6% ( 0.09) | 28.54% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 41.69% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.07% ( -0.43) | 64.93% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.15% ( -0.3) | 83.84% ( 0.3) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.29% ( 0.02) | 30.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.04% ( 0.02) | 66.96% ( -0.01) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.16% ( -0.64) | 39.83% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.5% ( -0.6) | 76.5% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 14.44% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.27% Total : 41.85% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.59% | 0-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.41% Total : 28.53% |
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