SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 12.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Estudiantes |
67.51% ( 0.01) | 19.69% ( -0) | 12.79% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.54% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.53% ( -0.01) | 46.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.25% ( -0.01) | 68.75% ( 0.01) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.22% ( 0) | 12.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.92% ( 0) | 39.08% |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.36% ( -0.02) | 46.63% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.79% ( -0.01) | 82.21% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 2-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.65% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.45% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 67.51% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 19.69% | 0-1 @ 4.55% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.57% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.11% Total : 12.79% |
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