SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 34.99%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.04%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (12.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Huracan |
34.9% ( 0.65) | 30.1% ( 0.4) | 34.99% ( -1.06) |
| Both teams to score 41.88% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.59% ( -1.27) | 65.4% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.82% ( -0.9) | 84.17% ( 0.89) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.68% ( -0.24) | 35.31% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.93% ( -0.25) | 72.07% ( 0.24) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% ( -1.4) | 35.25% ( 1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.99% ( -1.48) | 72% ( 1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.12% Total : 34.9% | 1-1 @ 13.51% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.57)2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.09% | 0-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.13% Total : 34.99% |
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