SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.32%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Gimnasia |
48.45% ( 2.23) | 29.35% ( 0.5) | 22.2% ( -2.73) |
| Both teams to score 37.93% ( -3.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.74% ( -3.04) | 67.26% ( 3.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.56% ( -2.1) | 85.44% ( 2.1) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% ( -0.34) | 28.3% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.97% ( -0.43) | 64.03% ( 0.43) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.9% ( -4.5) | 47.09% ( 4.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.44% ( -3.61) | 82.56% ( 3.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 16.82% ( 1.65) 2-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.94)2-1 @ 8% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.45% Total : 48.44% | 0-0 @ 13.32% ( 1.41) 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.51)Other @ 0.34% Total : 29.33% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.76)0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.56)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.38)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.29)Other @ 1.47% Total : 22.19% |
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