SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 36.41%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 2-1 (7.1%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (12.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Huracan |
36.41% ( -0.03) | 30.47% ( -0.01) | 33.11% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 40.81% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.37% ( 0.04) | 66.62% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.99% ( 0.03) | 85.01% ( -0.03) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.04% | 34.96% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.3% ( 0) | 71.7% ( -0.01) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.75% ( 0.05) | 37.24% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.97% ( 0.05) | 74.03% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 13.68% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.1% 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 36.4% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.47% | 0-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 33.1% |
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