SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 35.07%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 31.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.02%) and 1-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (13.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Instituto |
33.02% ( 0.29) | 31.91% ( -0.01) | 35.07% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 37.37% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.38% ( 0.05) | 70.62% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.37% ( 0.03) | 87.63% ( -0.03) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.39% ( 0.24) | 39.6% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.71% ( 0.22) | 76.29% ( -0.23) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.88% ( -0.16) | 38.12% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.12% ( -0.16) | 74.88% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 13.98% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 33.02% | 0-0 @ 15.09% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 13.48% 2-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 31.9% | 0-1 @ 14.56% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 35.07% |
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