Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 35.55%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.01%) and 1-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Instituto win was 1-0 (13.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.