SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | Estudiantes |
60.15% ( 0.77) | 23.16% ( -0.26) | 16.69% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 45.45% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.94% ( 0.22) | 53.05% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.36% ( 0.19) | 74.64% ( -0.19) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.69% ( 0.35) | 17.3% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.34% ( 0.62) | 47.65% ( -0.62) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.96% ( -0.52) | 45.04% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.03% ( -0.42) | 80.96% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 13.66% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 60.14% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.48% Total : 16.69% |
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