SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Patronato win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Patronato | Draw | Huracan |
30.68% ( 0.31) | 27.91% ( -0.04) | 41.41% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 47.06% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.3% ( 0.24) | 58.7% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.76% ( 0.19) | 79.24% ( -0.19) |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% ( 0.36) | 34.73% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.54% ( 0.38) | 71.46% ( -0.37) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% ( -0.03) | 27.9% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.49% ( -0.04) | 63.51% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Patronato | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.19% Total : 30.67% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 41.41% |
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