Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Feb 6, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Instituto.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result |
| Union | Draw | Instituto |
50.15% ( 0.9) | 28.18% ( -0.07) | 21.67% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 40% ( -0.66) |
| 35.67% ( -0.38) | 64.33% ( 0.38) |
| 16.58% ( -0.27) | 83.42% ( 0.27) |
| 73.94% ( 0.26) | 26.06% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.89% ( 0.35) | 61.11% ( -0.35) |
| 54.1% ( -1.08) | 45.9% ( 1.09) |
