SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newell's Old Boys.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
48.31% ( 0.09) | 28.1% ( -0.01) | 23.59% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 42.04% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.25% ( -0.04) | 62.75% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.71% ( -0.03) | 82.28% ( 0.03) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( 0.03) | 26.22% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.68% ( 0.04) | 61.32% ( -0.04) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.98% ( -0.11) | 43.02% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.69% ( -0.09) | 79.3% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 15.09% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.53% 3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 48.3% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.04% Total : 23.59% |
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