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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
42.42% ( 0.58) | 27.36% ( 0.27) | 30.21% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 48.43% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.12% ( -1.28) | 56.88% ( 1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.2% ( -1.03) | 77.8% ( 1.03) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% ( -0.28) | 26.5% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.31% ( -0.37) | 61.69% ( 0.37) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% ( -1.29) | 34.11% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.2% ( -1.41) | 70.8% ( 1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.42% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.21% |
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