SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 45.14%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 26.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
45.14% ( 0.35) | 28.53% ( -0.15) | 26.32% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 43.1% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.46% ( 0.37) | 62.54% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.87% ( 0.27) | 82.13% ( -0.27) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( 0.36) | 27.72% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.71% ( 0.46) | 63.29% ( -0.46) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.64% ( 0.04) | 40.36% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.02% ( 0.03) | 76.98% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 14.35% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.69% Total : 45.14% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.33% Total : 26.32% |
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