SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Gimnasia |
57.72% ( 0.01) | 24.36% ( -0.01) | 17.91% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.36% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.25% ( 0.04) | 55.75% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.11% ( 0.03) | 76.88% ( -0.03) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( 0.02) | 19.19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.13% ( 0.03) | 50.87% ( -0.03) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.89% ( 0.02) | 45.1% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.98% ( 0.02) | 81.01% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 14.28% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 57.71% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0)Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.53% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.74% 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 17.91% |
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