SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Platense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
38.09% ( 0.74) | 26.66% ( 0.47) | 35.25% ( -1.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.95% ( -1.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.96% ( -2.03) | 53.04% ( 2.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.37% ( -1.76) | 74.63% ( 1.76) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( -0.53) | 27.08% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.55% ( -0.7) | 62.45% ( 0.71) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( -1.7) | 28.76% ( 1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.4% ( -2.17) | 64.6% ( 2.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.09% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.61)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.25% |
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