Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
