SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 62.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Platense had a probability of 15.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Platense |
62.72% ( -0.99) | 21.79% ( 0.29) | 15.48% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 46.89% ( 0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.27% ( 0.14) | 49.72% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.26% ( 0.12) | 71.74% ( -0.12) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( -0.27) | 15.27% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.02% ( -0.52) | 43.98% ( 0.52) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.35% ( 1.07) | 44.65% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.35% ( 0.85) | 80.65% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 12.04% ( -0.3)2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.14% Total : 62.72% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.43% Total : 15.48% |
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