Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 77.4%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Platense had a probability of 8.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.37%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.76%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
