Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
