SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 42.14%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Union had a probability of 27.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.34%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Union |
42.14% ( 0.01) | 30.31% ( -0) | 27.55% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 39.56% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.7% ( 0.01) | 67.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.54% ( 0.01) | 85.46% ( -0.01) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( 0.01) | 31.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.82% ( 0.01) | 68.18% ( -0.01) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.97% ( 0) | 42.03% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.54% ( 0) | 78.47% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 15.31% 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.14% | 0-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 13.27% 2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.3% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.16% Total : 27.54% |
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