SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Union had a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Union |
51.4% ( 0.35) | 26.74% ( -0.08) | 21.86% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 43.65% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.28% ( 0.04) | 59.72% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.97% ( 0.03) | 80.03% ( -0.03) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% ( 0.17) | 23.42% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.58% ( 0.25) | 57.42% ( -0.25) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57% ( -0.26) | 43% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.71% ( -0.22) | 79.29% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 14.61% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.03% Total : 21.86% |
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