SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Tigre |
51.31% ( -0) | 26% ( -0.07) | 22.68% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.51% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.53% ( 0.31) | 56.47% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.53% ( 0.25) | 77.47% ( -0.25) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( 0.13) | 22.08% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.57% ( 0.19) | 55.43% ( -0.19) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.69% ( 0.24) | 40.3% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.07% ( 0.22) | 76.93% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 51.31% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.7% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.31% Total : 22.68% |
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