SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Union had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Tigre |
27.69% ( 0.05) | 27.41% ( 0.06) | 44.9% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.95% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.9% ( -0.2) | 58.11% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.23% ( -0.15) | 78.77% ( 0.16) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.26% ( -0.06) | 36.74% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.47% ( -0.07) | 73.53% ( 0.07) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% ( -0.14) | 25.78% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.27% ( -0.2) | 60.73% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 27.69% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.89% |
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