SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Japan |
35.29% ( -0.72) | 26.28% ( -0.15) | 38.43% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% ( 0.59) | 51.46% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% ( 0.52) | 73.27% ( -0.52) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( -0.15) | 27.97% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.39% ( -0.18) | 63.61% ( 0.18) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% ( 0.77) | 26.15% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.77% ( 1.02) | 61.23% ( -1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahrain | Draw | Japan |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.29% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.43% |
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