SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
54.54% ( -0.67) | 26.49% ( 0.35) | 18.97% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 40.66% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.39% ( -0.78) | 61.61% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.55% ( -0.58) | 81.45% ( 0.58) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( -0.61) | 22.86% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.41% ( -0.92) | 56.59% ( 0.92) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.7% ( -0.08) | 47.3% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.29% ( -0.06) | 82.71% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahrain | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
| 1-0 @ 15.95% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.49% Total : 54.53% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.43% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 18.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 30 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 22 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Brentford | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | Fulham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 9 |
| 18 | Everton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 7 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 5 |
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