SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 67.67%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Jordan had a probability of 13.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Jordan win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Jordan |
67.67% ( 0.04) | 18.74% ( -0.09) | 13.59% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.66% ( 0.56) | 40.34% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.29% ( 0.58) | 62.71% ( -0.57) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.04% ( 0.17) | 10.96% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.81% ( 0.37) | 35.19% ( -0.37) |
| Jordan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.47% ( 0.44) | 41.53% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.97% ( 0.38) | 78.03% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan | Draw | Jordan |
| 2-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 2% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.11% Total : 67.66% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.74% | 0-1 @ 4% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.56% Total : 13.59% |
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