SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Jordan | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | South Korea | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Bahrain | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Jordan | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | South Korea | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Bahrain | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Malaysia had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest Malaysia win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahrain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bahrain.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Malaysia |
44.2% ( 0.05) | 27.7% ( -0.01) | 28.1% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.38% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.05% ( 0) | 58.95% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.57% ( 0) | 79.43% ( -0) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( 0.03) | 26.53% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( 0.04) | 61.73% ( -0.04) |
| Malaysia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.13% ( -0.03) | 36.86% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.34% ( -0.04) | 73.65% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahrain | Draw | Malaysia |
| 1-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.19% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.78% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 28.1% |
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