SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Hong Kong |
60.39% ( -0.03) | 22.97% ( 0.42) | 16.64% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 45.88% ( -1.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.58% ( -2.25) | 52.42% ( 2.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( -1.97) | 74.1% ( 1.97) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( -0.8) | 16.99% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.89% ( -1.44) | 47.11% ( 1.44) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.28% ( -1.83) | 44.72% ( 1.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.29% ( -1.51) | 80.71% ( 1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Hong Kong |
| 1-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.83) 2-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.42)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.22)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.6% Total : 60.38% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.66)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.5% Total : 16.64% |
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