SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saudi Arabia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Saudi Arabia.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Lebanon |
| 40.9% | 25.92% | 33.18% |
| Both teams to score 53.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.73% | 50.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.78% | 72.21% |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% | 24.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% | 58.66% |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% | 28.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.47% | 64.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Lebanon |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 6.98% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.9% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.7% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.18% |
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