SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Thailand | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Oman | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Thailand | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Oman | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 70.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 11.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.11%) and 0-3 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 1-0 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Saudi Arabia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kyrgyzstan | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
11.02% ( -0.02) | 18.98% ( -0.01) | 70.01% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.29% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.21% ( 0.01) | 47.79% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% ( 0) | 69.98% |
| Kyrgyzstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.45% ( -0.03) | 50.55% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.97% ( -0.02) | 85.04% ( 0.03) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.54% ( 0.01) | 12.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.59% ( 0.02) | 38.41% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kyrgyzstan | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
| 1-0 @ 4.3% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.05% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 11.02% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.55% Total : 18.98% | 0-2 @ 13.66% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 13.11% 0-3 @ 9.48% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.47% 0-4 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.37% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)0-5 @ 2.06% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.4% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.84% Total : 70% |
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