SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Jordan win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jordan | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
29.2% ( 1.85) | 25.17% ( -0.25) | 45.62% ( -1.6) |
| Both teams to score 54.62% ( 2.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.37% ( 2.11) | 48.62% ( -2.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.26% ( 1.89) | 70.74% ( -1.88) |
| Jordan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% ( 2.49) | 30.57% ( -2.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.2% ( 2.85) | 66.8% ( -2.85) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.67% ( 0.16) | 21.33% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.71% ( 0.25) | 54.28% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jordan | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
| 1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.38)2-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.2% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.58)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.85) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.61)1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.49% Total : 45.62% |
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