SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rapid Vienna | Draw | Sturm Graz |
30.16% ( -1.38) | 23.63% ( 0.06) | 46.21% ( 1.31) |
| Both teams to score 60.5% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.84% ( -0.97) | 41.15% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.45% ( -0.99) | 63.55% ( 0.99) |
| Rapid Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% ( -1.34) | 26.15% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.77% ( -1.83) | 61.22% ( 1.82) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( 0.14) | 18.07% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.02% ( 0.25) | 48.98% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rapid Vienna | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.34% Total : 30.16% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.39)0-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.68% Total : 46.21% |
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