SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsberger win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Grazer AK had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsberger win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Grazer AK win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsberger would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grazer AK | Draw | Wolfsberger |
29.96% ( -0.07) | 24.24% ( -0.02) | 45.8% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.91% ( 0.04) | 44.09% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.53% ( 0.04) | 66.47% ( -0.04) |
| Grazer AK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( -0.03) | 27.75% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.68% ( -0.03) | 63.32% ( 0.04) |
| Wolfsberger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.6% ( 0.06) | 19.4% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.78% ( 0.09) | 51.21% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grazer AK | Draw | Wolfsberger |
| 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 29.96% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 45.8% |
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