SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 51.83%. A win for Grazer AK had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Grazer AK win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Grazer AK |
51.83% ( 0.04) | 21.97% ( -0.01) | 26.19% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 63.3% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.89% ( 0.05) | 36.11% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.78% ( 0.05) | 58.22% ( -0.05) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.83% ( 0.03) | 14.17% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.13% ( 0.06) | 41.87% ( -0.05) |
| Grazer AK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( 0.01) | 26.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.65% ( 0.02) | 61.35% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Grazer AK |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% 1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 51.83% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.97% 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 26.2% |
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