SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rapid Vienna | Draw | Sturm Graz |
43.08% ( 0.14) | 25.64% ( -0.01) | 31.28% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.21% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.34% ( 0.02) | 49.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% ( 0.02) | 71.68% ( -0.01) |
| Rapid Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.05% ( 0.07) | 22.95% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.28% ( 0.1) | 56.73% ( -0.1) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% ( -0.07) | 29.64% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.31% ( -0.09) | 65.69% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rapid Vienna | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.08% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.28% |
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