SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for BW Linz had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest BW Linz win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | BW Linz |
45.61% ( -0.01) | 24.59% ( -0) | 29.8% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.95% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.26% ( 0.01) | 45.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.94% ( 0.01) | 68.05% ( -0.01) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% ( -0) | 20.14% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.58% ( -0) | 52.42% |
| BW Linz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.32% ( 0.02) | 28.68% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.49% ( 0.02) | 64.5% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | BW Linz |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.95% 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.88% Total : 45.61% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.58% | 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.8% |
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